02-11-2009, 08:07 AM
Don't be fooled by the negative "spinners"... There's a lot of change going on, and a lot of people are going to shout disaster at every step. I personally don't believe that the economy is going to go down. The company I am with made almost 20% more profits compared to last year. A record amount of profits came in in the last few months! We don't show up in limo's, we suck at the big companies "BS Bingo".. So we're the cheap alternative.
There is a storm going on and some of the biggest and eldest trees in the forest are going to go down. I give you that. But most of the terror invoked is psychological. The economy is the new terrorism... It's the new stick we're shown to trigger our fear. Screw em, what is the worst that can happen? And is that worse than losing yourself?
The economy will not crash because of it. It is intensely hard for the economy to crash. There were many worse crashes over history including on the beginning of the 90s. Our economy basically went back to that level. And we survived that one too. Most healthy and small companies in retrospect thrived because of it. And only the sick, inflexible or decadent (Car + Laptop + Phone for each employee) companies died out. It is nearly impossible to cause a total crash. The reason is that the economy is a true chaotic system with a few billion agents trying to make a buck and causing semi random outcomes. It cannot be controlled. Not even by *drumroll* Them! */drumroll*
After every crash there is massive growth, a lot of companies are removed and this pushes other companies towards the bigger customers who were traditionally served by expensive monopolists. Recessions are actually a good thing for most of the minor players IF they can adapt and are relatively independent from the big trees that fall hard so they do not get dragged down.
So... Many changes in 2010... This could also mean that small companies are going to show up on the radar with unique solutions to problems that are now able to market their products because the big companies are no longer able to successfully compete against them. According to the graph some things are going to change drastically. I don't see that happening in an economic recession. Usually in my opinion these are times of poverty and cause a slowing down rather than a speeding up.
I'm inclined to expect the more positive outcomes. Partly because I don't see reasons to panic. And partly because I was told everything is going to be just fine. But to do everyone a favour I'll act surprised when wonderfull things start happening, I'm just that nice a guy
There is a storm going on and some of the biggest and eldest trees in the forest are going to go down. I give you that. But most of the terror invoked is psychological. The economy is the new terrorism... It's the new stick we're shown to trigger our fear. Screw em, what is the worst that can happen? And is that worse than losing yourself?
The economy will not crash because of it. It is intensely hard for the economy to crash. There were many worse crashes over history including on the beginning of the 90s. Our economy basically went back to that level. And we survived that one too. Most healthy and small companies in retrospect thrived because of it. And only the sick, inflexible or decadent (Car + Laptop + Phone for each employee) companies died out. It is nearly impossible to cause a total crash. The reason is that the economy is a true chaotic system with a few billion agents trying to make a buck and causing semi random outcomes. It cannot be controlled. Not even by *drumroll* Them! */drumroll*
After every crash there is massive growth, a lot of companies are removed and this pushes other companies towards the bigger customers who were traditionally served by expensive monopolists. Recessions are actually a good thing for most of the minor players IF they can adapt and are relatively independent from the big trees that fall hard so they do not get dragged down.
So... Many changes in 2010... This could also mean that small companies are going to show up on the radar with unique solutions to problems that are now able to market their products because the big companies are no longer able to successfully compete against them. According to the graph some things are going to change drastically. I don't see that happening in an economic recession. Usually in my opinion these are times of poverty and cause a slowing down rather than a speeding up.
I'm inclined to expect the more positive outcomes. Partly because I don't see reasons to panic. And partly because I was told everything is going to be just fine. But to do everyone a favour I'll act surprised when wonderfull things start happening, I'm just that nice a guy